12 articles
The US economy lost 92,000 jobs in February — the worst reading since the pandemic. With oil surging past $85, tariffs biting, and the Fed trapped between inflation and recession, here is what investors need to know.
The 10-year Treasury yield surged to 4.17% in the worst weekly bond selloff in months. With 92,000 jobs lost and oil near $100, the bond market is pricing in stagflation — and the Fed may be powerless to stop it.
The EU is preparing $108 billion in retaliatory tariffs against the US while simultaneously imposing anti-dumping duties on Chinese imports. Eurozone growth forecast cut to 1.2%. Global trade growth projected at just 0.5% — the weakest in years.
The Fed is stuck at 3.50-3.75% with no good options. Jobs are collapsing, oil is surging, and inflation expectations are rising. The March FOMC meeting may be the most consequential policy decision since the pandemic.
A new 10% global tariff under Section 122 is now hitting $1.2 trillion in US imports. How this obscure Cold War-era trade weapon is squeezing consumers, freezing hiring, and reshaping markets.
The Federal Reserve is navigating one of its most complex policy environments in decades. With sticky inflation, a divided FOMC, falling long-term yields, and mortgage rates breaking below 6%, the 2026 rate outlook is anything but straightforward. Here is what investors need to know about the yield curve twist and its implications.
Goldman Sachs puts 2026 recession odds at 20%, while J.P. Morgan warns of 35% risk. We analyze the four key threats (tariff inflation, stagflation lite, consumer exhaustion, AI bubble) and explain why most economists still expect slow growth, not contraction.
GDP is the single most important measure of economic health. Learn how it is calculated, what it tells investors about market direction, and why the GDP report moves markets every quarter.
The yield curve has predicted every US recession since 1955. Learn what it is, why it inverts, and what the current yield curve shape means for the economy in 2026.
Stagflation — the toxic combination of stagnant growth, high unemployment, and rising inflation — devastated portfolios in the 1970s. With tariffs pushing prices higher and growth slowing, could history repeat?
The Fed controls the most powerful lever in the economy. Learn how interest rate decisions ripple through mortgages, savings accounts, stock markets, and your daily financial life.
The US debt ceiling is a political time bomb that periodically threatens the global financial system. Understand what it is, why it matters, and what a default would mean for your savings, investments, and the economy.